STABLE COIN LA VIA PER ESSERE LIBERI DAL FALLIMENTO DEL SISTEMA EURO


MY SEPTEMBER MOOD! CREDO CHE IL MERCATO ABBAI CAPITO MALE LE PAROLE DI DRAGHI

 

DOLLARO DEBOLE E BORSE DEBOLI A SETTEMBRE....THAT'S MY FEELING...
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Draghi non pensa minimamente si fare un intervento nelle prossime settimane...a parte il LTRO N.2 gia' annunciato...Il dollaro in area 1,31- 1,315 puo' riindebolirsi fino ad area 1,345
le aspettative dei mercati verranno rimangiate e il mercato azionario arretrera' un po' ..nulla di drammatico in quanto al momento i bassi tasi di interesse tengono in piedi la baracca

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7 commenti:

Anonimo ha detto...

Grazie mille Dottor Barrai, Filippo

paolo m ha detto...

la barriera 1.20 eur /chf traballa ,la mucca é nella stalla

Ben Bernanke ha detto...

Draghi Regala soldi se lo riporta a 1.34-1.35, quando l'italia entrò nell' euro si disse ce si sarebbe lavorato un giorno di meno ma guadagnato come se si fosse lavorato un giorno in più ed è verissimo per chi si sa muovere sul forex, Long Life Mr Draghi

Anonimo ha detto...

Quindi per Lei nelle prossime settimane il mercato scenderà...

ML ha detto...

Laterale negativo dai primi di settembre...fino ad allora potrebbe salire o laterale positivo

Anonimo ha detto...


Se i dati USA dovessero cominciare a uscire bruttini e la BCE (com'è scontato) non fa alcun QE ci potrebbe essere pure un'estensione a 1.37-1.38... Con movimenti violenti per far saltare le posizioni... Anche a settembre 2013 l'€ si è apprezzato molto...Nelle prossime due settimane ci sono le riunioni BCE e FED...

Okkio...

Davide Ambrosini ha detto...

aggiungo un passaggio dello speach di Draghi che segna il futuro dell´itaglia: risulta chiara la richiesta di differenziare tra chi ha voglia di fare (skills development, education) e no (no skill, no education) e legarla alla reddito/tipo di lavoro. In itaglia qs nn sará possibile, almeno nel breve, in altre parti del mondo lo é gia. Quindi, perché restare? di vita ce né una sola!!!!
Davide


Reforming structural policies
No amount of fiscal or monetary accommodation, however, can compensate for the necessary structural reforms in the euro area. As I said, structural unemployment was already estimated to be very high coming into the crisis (around 9%). Indeed, some research suggests it has been high since the 1970s. [17] And given the interactions I described, there are important reasons why national structural reforms that tackle this problem can no longer be delayed.

This reform agenda spans labour markets, product markets and actions to improve the business environment. I will however focus here on labour markets, where there are two cross-cutting themes that I see as a priority.

The first is policies that allow workers to redeploy quickly to new job opportunities and hence lower unemployment duration. Such policies include enabling firm-level agreements that allow wages to better reflect local labour market conditions and productivity developments; allowing for greater wage differentiation across workers and between sectors; reductions in employment adjustment rigidities and especially labour market dualities; and product market reforms which help to speed up the reallocation of resources and employment to more productive sectors.

The second theme is raising the skill intensity of the workforce. We have already seen the disproportionate effect of the crisis on low skilled workers, which implies a period of re-skilling will be necessary to get people back into work. The longer-term effects of high youth unemployment also point to this conclusion. The number of unemployed aged between 15 and 24, relative to the labour force of the same age group, increased from an already high level of around 15% in 2007 to 24% in 2013. This has most likely left significant “scarring” as the young have lost access to a crucial step of on-the-job training.

The issue of skill intensity is also very relevant for potential growth. While raising labour participation is crucial, demographic prospects imply that it will provide a diminishing contribution to future potential. Lifting trend growth will have to come mainly through raising labour productivity. Thus, we need to ensure that, to the extent possible, employment is concentrated in high-value added, high-productivity sectors, which in turn is a function of skills.

What is more, in the global economy the euro area cannot compete on costs alone with emerging countries, if only because of our social model. Our comparative advantage therefore has to come from combining cost competitiveness with specialisation in high-value added activities – a business model that countries such as Germany have successfully demonstrated. Seen from this perspective, insufficient skill levels will effectively raise the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) by causing more workers to drop out of the ‘competitiveness zone’ and become unemployable.

Raising skills is clearly first and foremost about education, where there is much that could still be done. The percentage of the working age population that has completed upper secondary or tertiary education in the euro area ranges from a high of more than 90% in some countries to a low of around 40% in others. But there is also an important role for active labour market policies, such as lifelong learning, and for eradicating distortions such labour market duality. The latter would, among other things, help reduce inefficient worker turnover and increase incentives for employers and employees to invest in developing job-specific skills.